| About two years
ago, the owner of the Gallery at NoHo Commons was close
to selling the apartment complex in the North Hollywood
section of Los Angeles for more than $140 million, a
person familiar with the matter said.
Now, the 438-unit complex has sold for $96 million.
The deal is a sign of the drop in values in the multifamily
sector which has seen vacancy rates rise as cost-conscious
renters have doubled-up or moved in with family members.
Sales of apartment complexes nationwide have slowed
to a trickle. Some $27 billion in apartment buildings
traded in 2008 compared with $55 billion in 2007, according
to Reis Inc., a New York real-estate research firm,
based on a survey of transactions valued at $2 million
or greater. Through the second quarter of this year,
there has been less than $5 billion in deals.
But some investors have stayed behind as others have
fled the sector and the sale of NoHo Commons gives a
glimpse into their thinking. It was purchased by a nontraded
real-estate investment trust managed by Behringer Harvard,
a Dallas real-estate company. Behringer has become one
of the biggest buyers of U.S. multifamily properties
this year, buying five apartment complexes with 1,690
units for a total of about $274 million in cash and
assumed debt.
Behringer executives say they see opportunity in the
downdraft, which has sent U.S. apartment prices from
$113,000 in the third quarter of 2008, to $80,000 in
the second quarter, Reis says. "Properties of a
very high quality are available at pricing that really
wasn't available a few years ago," says Jason Mattox,
chief administrative officer at Behringer.
Behringer Harvard was formed in 2001 by Robert Behringer,
61 years old, who worked for a large pension-fund adviser
before he started two real-estate companies that became
predecessors to Behringer. Behringer now has about $8
billion in assets under management through its various
nontraded REITs as well as through some private partnerships
and other affiliates, according to Robert Aisner, president
and co-chief operating officer of Behringer Harvard.
The portfolio hasn't been immune to the downturn. For
example, a Dallas condominium development by a Behringer-affiliated
partnership converted the condo units to rentals about
six months ago after they failed to sell quickly, Mr.
Aisner says.
Behringer is able to go on a buying spree partly because
it has been able to raise capital. Through early September,
Behringer Harvard Multifamily REIT has raised about
$249.2 million from a public offering begun in September
2008. It also has raised money in a private offering
as well as about $200 million from Dutch pension fund
PGGM. It also is taking advantage of financing still
available for apartment acquisitions from Freddie Mac
and Fannie Mae.
Mr. Aisner says Behringer seeks to finance as much
as 60% of the cost of its acquisitions, and will likely
look to one of the housing-finance giants for a mortgage
on the NoHo Commons complex for which it originally
paid cash.
Apartment buildings are clearly producing higher returns
than they used to. In 2007, the so-called capitalization
rates of apartment buildings, derived by dividing a
building's net operating income by the price paid, were
5.8%. Today they have risen to 7.1%, according to Real
Capital Analytics, a New York real-estate research firm.
The NoHo apartment complex, which offers such amenities
as a pool, fitness center and a room that it bills as
a recording studio, fetches monthly rents in the $2,400
range for a two-bedroom unit and has an occupancy rate
of 91%.
The apartment property was attractive because if it
is financed it could ultimately throw off a rate of
return of more than 8%, says Herb Chase, managing director
of Multi Housing Capital Advisors who represented the
seller in the Los Angeles complex sale. Opportunities
for such higher returns in apartments have begun to
attract some investors who previously retreated to other
perceived safer investments such as Treasury bonds after
the recession hit. "Everybody was scared but people
are less scared now," Mr. Chase says.
To be sure, the outlook for apartment properties is
likely to get worse before it gets better. U.S. apartment
vacancies are expected to peak next year at 8.1%, a
30-year high, according to Reis. It could sour further
if the economy worsens and rents and occupancy rates
continue to fall.
But some people think a recovery for apartments is
likely in 2011. If the job market stabilizes in 2010,
younger workers are likely to be the first to be hired
back because they are cheaper to employ, the theory
goes. Since many of those people are renters, that is
going to drive the apartment recovery, says Victor Calanog,
director of research for Reis.
Source: The Wall Street Journal,
September 30, 2009
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