New-home sales
in the U.S. improved in July from a 17-year low and
construction cutbacks by builders reduced the glut of
properties on the market by the most in almost five
decades.
Sales increased 2.4 percent to a 515,000 annual pace
that was lower than anticipated after a revised 503,000
rate in June, the Commerce Department said today in
Washington. The number of unsold homes on the market
fell 5.2 percent, the most since November 1963, to a
416,000 pace.
Lower prices have made homes more affordable for Americans
still able to obtain a mortgage, stemming the slide
in demand and making it more likely the property glut
will clear. A more stable housing market would eliminate
one of the biggest risks to the economy even as the
credit crisis and job losses threaten growth.
``We're hopefully getting in the vicinity of a bottom,''
David Resler, chief U.S. economist at Nomura Securities
International Inc. in New York, said before the report.
Still, ``we're a long way from a recovery. We'll see
activity at low levels for a while.''
Economists forecast new-home sales would drop to a
525,000 annual pace from an originally reported 530,000
rate the prior month, according to the median estimate
in a Bloomberg survey of 76 economists. Forecasts ranged
from 493,000 to 570,000.
The median price of a new home decreased 6.3 percent
to $230,700, from $246,200 a year earlier.
Cheaper Gasoline
Consumer confidence in August increased more than
forecast in August as cheaper gasoline improved Americans'
moods, a private report showed. The Conference Board's
confidence index rose to 56.9 from 51.9 in July.
Another report today showed home prices fell at a
slower pace in the second quarter, signaling the slump
may be starting to stabilize. Home values declined 2.3
percent from the previous three months, compared with
a 6.8 percent drop in the first quarter, according to
the S&P/Case-Shiller index.
Sales of new homes were down 35 percent from July
2007, the Commerce report showed.
The supply of homes at the current sales rate fell
to 10.1 months' worth from 10.7 months in June. Still,
real-estate industry groups have said a five to six
months' supply signal a balanced market.
While accounting for only about 15 percent of the housing
market, new-home purchases are considered a timelier
indicator because they are based on contract signings.
Sales of previously owned homes, which make up the remainder,
are compiled from closings and reflect contracts signed
weeks or months earlier.
Weakness Masked
Resales increased 3.1 percent in July, the National
Association of Realtors said yesterday. The gain masked
further weakness as inventories surged to a record high
level of 4.67 million unsold houses and condos.
Inventories of new properties are likely to keep shrinking
as builders pull back. Ground was broken on the fewest
new houses in 17 years in July, and permits, a sign
of future construction, also fell, Commerce Department
figures showed.
Government officials remain pessimistic.
``We have a ways to go before we start seeing a turnaround,''
Housing and Urban Development Secretary Steve Preston
said yesterday in an interview. ``We'll be well into
2009 before we see some real energy in this market.''
New home sales increased in two of four regions from
the prior month, led by a 39 percent jump in the Northeast.
Purchases declined 8.2 percent in the Midwest and 2.5
percent in the South, today's report showed.
Company results reflect the distress. Home Depot Inc.
and Lowe's Cos., the world's two largest home-improvement
retailers, posted declines in second quarter profit.
``We continue to see pressure on our market and the
consumer,'' Home Depot Chief Executive Officer Frank
Blake said in a statement last week.
Source: Bloomberg, August
26, 2008
|